Jordan at OrioleProspects.com and I have been sharing thoughts on the 2009 trade deadline trade between the Dodgers and Orioles that sent George Sherrill to Los Angeles for prospects Josh Bell and Steven Johnson.
Here are my thoughts. You can read his thoughts here.
Outcome Bias. It’s a real thing. It happens all the time. Your perspective of something changes because of the end result. Player A, who is not good, is traded for Player B, who is bad. Player B performs inexplicably well and Player A continues to perform not good. The fans of Player B’s new team gloat about the trade and the fans of Player A’s new team scowl and curse the trade and all management involved.
Thoughts at the time of the trade