Tag Archives: Scott Podsednik

Starting a Line-Up with Podsednik, Theriot, Carroll and Ausmus

Ryan Theriot, Jamey Carroll, Brad Ausmus and ScottPodsednik have 44 extra base hits between them this year in 1,241 plate appearances this year.

I am not joking. This is not a joke.

There are 40 players this season that have at least 44 extra base hits so far.

Note that another player in the Dodgers’ line-up, Jay Gibbons, is making his first start today since 2007. He has three hits so far today.


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A little reflection on the Dodgers’ Trade Deadline

Not gonna comment too much on this. A lot’s been said, a lot’s been published, but we’re going to need some time to reflect on it.

The Dodgers traded away Blake DeWitt, Elisaul Pimentel, Lucas May, Brett Wallach, James McDonald and Andrew Lambo. That’s one MLB starter, one #5 starter, two back-end starters, a back-up catcher and a troubled but talented outfield hitter.

They got in return Ted Lilly, Scott Podsednik, Ryan Theriot and Octavio Dotel. A decent SP, an average OF with no power, a replacement level 2B with no power and a sub-par reliever.

The plan is to win this year, but at what cost?

Meanwhile, the Dodgers are 7 games out of first place in the NL West and 5 games out of the wild card. It’s a long shot to even get to the playoffs.

The best news is the biggest pieces in the Dodgers’ farm system are still Dodgers. Trayvon Robinson, Jerry Sands, Chris Withrow, Dee Gordon, Aaron Miller, Ethan Martin, Javy Guerra and Nathan Eovaldi. Andrew Lambo was a loss, but he’s a risky investment and Sands has performed better than him this year and last. Sands is also a risk, but I’d rather have Sands.

Giving up McDonald, though, was a mistake. And giving up McDonald AND Lambo for Dotel was a big mistake.

Even if neither of them does well in the majors, it was overpaying greatly for a sub-par reliever. Honestly, the Dodgers paid less for Lilly and Theriot. You wonder what the Dodgers could’ve netted for McDonald and Lambo if they had shopped them more.

The second-best news, I guess, is Podsednik, Manny, Lilly and Dotel (if his option year isn’t vested) are free agents after the season and offering arbitration could give the Dodgers 5 or 6 first round draft picks, if all goes to plan.

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The Two Parts to Evaluating Any Trade

There are two essential parts to evaluating any trade made by your favorite team:

  1. Should your team be buying or selling right now?
  2. Is the trade of value to them?

I think the first part, for the Dodgers in this trade, is wrong.  They should be sellers at the deadline.  It’s obvious this line-up isn’t great, the pitching stinks and they’re gonna have some holes in the rotation to start next year that, barring some gift of God, won’t be filled. The time to rebuild for next year should start about now and I still firmly believe seeing what’s available for Andre Ethier isn’t a bad idea.

On the second part, though, the Dodgers did good.  Pimentel might be of value at the major league level.  He’s still pretty far away, though, and he repeated Rookie ball two years in a row.  This was for a decent every-day outfielder with above-average on-base skills the last two years, who’s only getting paid about $250,000 the rest of the way.

The Royals traded a surplus and the Dodgers filled a deficit for this season. In return, the Royals received a player who may make the Majors in four years.

Some are complaining that Pimentel is a high-upside arm. Maybe true, but to be honest, this isn’t trading a sure-thing. This isn’t Carlos Santana in 2008 or Josh Bell in 2009. Pimentel’s got a ways to go and it’s possible that even if he makes the majors, the best he does isn’t better than what Vicente Padilla puts out.

Sometimes this gets lost. You see a prospect and look at how good he CAN be, but the chances of that happening are kinda slim. There are enough high-upside prospects in the Dodgers’ system. In this case, the Dodgers traded a surplus and the Royals filled a deficit.

Call to the Pen says this was a clear win for the Royals, though he seems to be looking too much at May’s/Pimentel’s numbers than their skills.

TBLA’s Eric Stephen makes a very convincing argument that Podsednik is having a lucky season and a half. I rebutt: even if his luck changes for the worse, he’s replacement player, which neither Garrett Anderson nor Xavier Paul is right now.

Fangraph’s Dave Anderson makes a solid point that this is what the Dodgers can afford and in that, it’s an OK trade.

I don’t think anyone’s arguing this trade was a clear win for the Dodgers, but that it didn’t hurt them much for the future and helps them right now, which is basically what rental trades should be.

MOKM doesn’t like this trade. My prospects!

Jack Taschner’s been designated. Hooray!


Filed under Hot stove, Los Angeles Dodgers, MLB, prospects

Ned Colletti Made a Not … Bad … Trade???

Rethinking this after 24 hours.

You know you get so used to these deadline deals that you expect the Dodgers to lose. Two years ago, the Dodgers traded away Carlos Santana. Last year, the Dodgers traded away Josh Bell. In return, they got an every day 3B in Casey Blake and a good reliever in George Sherrill. Certainly the return was OK, but the cost was expensive.

Yesterday, Ned Colletti traded two also-rans for a decent, cheap starting outfielder. Scott Podsednik is now a Dodger and Lucas May and Elisaul Pimentel are now Royals. Neither of the latter two will have a big impact on the MLB roster.

Yesterday, I also incorrectly argued against the trade. Despite Podsednik having three awful years, 2006-08, his past one and a half seasons have seen him return to value. He’s not going to hit home runs, but he gets on base at a decent clip and he has decent range.

Most Dodger fans know Lucas May as the fourth-string Dodgers catcher. He comes up to the big leagues when two of Russell Martin, Brad Ausmus and AJ Ellis are injured.

Pimentel is an unknown, but not in the way Santana and Bell were in 2009/2008 respectively. Ben Badler said he was a fringy guy at best. So basically the Dodgers traded a possible relief pitcher and a back-up catcher. If Pimentel develops into anything more than that, then it’s a hindsight-is-20/20 deal.

If Podsednik is indeed a spot filler until Manny Ramirez is back (if he comes back), then this is a great trade.

If Manny never comes back, then this season may be lost already. But the thing you’re not hearing is that Podsednik may return a Type B or even Type A draft pick compensation in the event that he’s offered arbitration this off-season. He’s put in the time over the last two years, which is the thing Elias Sports Bureau is most concerned about in A/B compensation, and he’s performed well over that time too.

Overall, not a bad trade. Well done, Mr. Colletti.

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Uhh … This is a Bad Idea.

RT @hankschulman: SFG are in on Podsednik, but the team making the strongest push is LAD, who fear they won’t get much more help from Manny

If your two bench outfielders (Reed Johnson and Xavier Paul, respectively) are doing a decent enough job filling in, why would you trade for a player that’s worse than both of them?


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Belisario Returns, Kershaw Starts Suspension and Some Link Catch-Ups

Where to start.

First off, there’s been a ton of trade rumors popping up around the Dodgers, as both buyers and sellers. Turns out the Dodgers are no longer interested in Scott Downs, but Ken Rosenthal tweeted last night the Dodgers, Giants and Padres are interested in Scott Podsednik. C/O Memories of Kevin Malone:

NL West teams are bombarding the Royals with interest in Scott Podsednik, according to Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports (via Twitter). Rosenthal suggests the Giants, Padres and Dodgers could be fits. The Giants and Padres have been linked to outfielders for weeks now and Dodgers GM Ned Colletti recently said he wants to add outfield depth.

Oh dear.

-Most importantly, i’m announcing that I think i’ll be doing a daily updated trade rumor thread until the deadline passes. Feel free to check in regularly or contribute. 😀

-Update: Confirmation on Scott Podsednik rumor.

I tweeted last night that this sounds like BS and even though it’s been confirmed, it still sounds more like teams are kicking the tires. Pods isn’t anything more than a bench player for any of those teams. It makes even less sense for the Dodgers, who have a great offensive outfield, a great spot outfielder in Xavier Paul and a great bench outfielder in Reed Johnson. They even have a great off-the-bench baserunner in Jamey Carroll. Acquiring Pods would also mean getting rid of Garrett Anderson and if the team hasn’t done that by now, they won’t. Don’t trust anything that comes out of any GM’s mouth.

I also just realized how white the Dodgers are. And how often I’ve been praising the white players.

Next, Ronald Belisario has returned from who knows where. And it appears he was in an alcohol program?

Los Angeles Dodgers reliever Ronald Belisario, who has been on Major League Baseball’s restricted list since July 7, has resumed workouts at Dodger Stadium, according to the team, though no timetable has been set for his return to the active roster.

The Dodgers offered no further comment. Belisario hasn’t pitched for the team since July 5, when he threw shutout ball over a career-high three innings against Florida. Players can be kept on the restricted list for a maximum of 30 days, meaning that Belisario has until approximately Aug. 6 before the Dodgers make a decision on him.

After a 2009 rookie season in which he posted a 2.04 ERA with 64 strikeouts in 70 2/3 innings, Belisario opened the 2010 season on the restricted list following visa problems that detained his arrival in the States from his native Venezuela. He made his season debut April 21, and after performing inconsistently through the end of May, had a 1.45 ERA from June 1 on. For the year, Belisario has a 3.79 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 35 2/3 innings.

Belisario was arrested for driving under the influence in June 2009 and subsequently pleaded guilty to a lesser charge.

Well that’s good to know. I hope he really came out of that better. The bullpen could really use him if he can perform at an average level.

Clayton Kershaw has started his suspension as of today.

Clayton Kershaw and the Los Angeles Dodgers have decided to have the lefty drop the appeal of his five-game suspension, which he will serve this week, postponing Kershaw’s next start until Sunday in San Francisco.

Kershaw was suspended for hitting Giants outfielder Aaron Rowand with the first pitch of the seventh inning July 20, after both teams had been issued warnings earlier in the game. Dodgers manager Joe Torre and coach Bob Schaefer served one-game suspensions related to the game last week.

This lines up Kershaw to pitch against Stephen Strasburg on Aug. 6 (h/t to Eric Stephen of True Blue LA).

Speaking of TBLA, Michael White posted a series preview for the series against the Padres, which starts today.

Starting Pitching for our Series:

Game 1: Jon Garland will take the hill for the Padres against Mr. Complete Game Chad Billingsley. Understandably, Garland couldn’t continue to carry his insane sub 2 ERA like he had when the Dodgers last visited Petco, but he still has an ERA outperforming his x-FIP. His ERA on the year is 3.61 compared to an x-FIP of 4.44.

Game 2: Clayton Richard is a LHP who came to San Diego last season in the Jake Peavy trade. Richard has better numbers than Garland, as his ERA is only outperforming his x-FIP by a margin of 3.57 to 4.00. Pretty solid numbers for the lefty.

Game 3: Mat Latos is back from injury and will make the start against Vicente Padilla on Thursday. Latos was drafted by San Diego in 2006 and has been very impressive in his professional career so far. The 22 year old enters the series with a 2.48 ERA and an x-FIP of 3.49.

It’s gonna be a good series. I imagine if the Dodgers lose all three games, it could knock them into “sellers” at the deadline.

I also think I’ve said on here that trading Andre Ethier probably wouldn’t be a bad idea, if they got something worthwhile out of it. Ethier is awesome and is under contract through next year and has another year of arbitration after that. It’d be interesting to see what they got in return for him.

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